Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 122.992182 141.894619 163.932037 191.825401 226.629727 269.228525 3.262760e+02
2025-03-09 97.617353 121.040179 151.318401 194.451308 256.304341 345.229643 4.898918e+02
2025-03-16 81.895387 106.002928 139.194764 190.207575 270.624486 400.636998 6.476172e+02
2025-03-23 74.717030 100.355807 137.662773 199.101054 305.087656 497.971858 9.321162e+02
2025-03-30 65.782891 90.532741 127.900330 192.431882 311.153098 547.291834 1.157076e+03
2025-04-06 60.428029 85.134797 123.802710 193.819936 331.455551 632.693758 1.544707e+03
2025-04-13 55.667750 79.966583 119.158969 193.065477 347.095637 715.320207 2.021790e+03
2025-04-20 53.286388 78.221318 119.827662 202.039441 385.697192 875.735479 3.034370e+03
2025-04-27 52.199355 78.405588 123.754310 218.084603 446.160431 1141.030199 5.255024e+03
2025-05-04 48.801738 74.295366 119.371505 216.089824 461.749677 1278.283500 7.301941e+03
2025-05-11 46.360931 71.584238 117.210642 218.431077 489.873904 1487.356988 1.128406e+04
2025-05-18 43.447093 67.764639 112.478204 214.112756 497.915987 1625.425497 1.588600e+04
2025-05-25 41.136105 65.053208 110.035110 215.818369 528.845405 1927.053588 2.958696e+04
2025-06-01 39.108661 62.706873 108.109804 218.668892 566.442614 2337.209697 6.883445e+04
2025-06-08 36.607695 59.239342 103.451786 213.694881 575.574915 2604.713943 1.451815e+05
2025-06-15 35.658316 58.606535 104.615535 224.136132 647.350685 3497.426078 1.535807e+06
2025-06-22 33.371081 55.196969 99.425548 216.303535 643.817817 3774.013750 1.425683e+07
2025-06-29 32.000254 53.467369 97.717872 217.932407 681.846776 4611.234693 NaN
2025-07-06 30.575743 51.516407 95.299220 217.046967 709.103489 5475.891112 NaN
2025-07-13 30.004103 51.223423 96.598670 227.592186 799.131234 7858.330708 NaN
2025-07-20 29.916144 51.901625 100.237815 246.517469 952.215159 13537.901460 NaN
2025-07-27 28.646012 50.019629 97.539825 244.159786 982.329347 16696.332658 NaN
2025-08-03 27.735133 48.829230 96.405981 246.927114 1048.865479 23173.554178 NaN